Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (NYSE:TSM)
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- joelsg1: @Henry $NVDA Actually some hidden good news, effectively banning H-20 opens up more production capacity at $TSM for newer and better and more profitable Blackwell and other GPUs which have been production constrained, but will take time to reconfigure fabs.
- woodman: @joelsg1 $NVDA $TSM - what's the estimated loss in $$ from the lost Chinese market?
- joelsg1: @woodman $NVDA $TSM Per $NVDA 8-K $5.5B to be taken in Q1 which apparently ends 4/27/25, so perhaps a 'clear the decks' number. I trimmed some on this news.
- woodman: @joelsg1 $NVDA $TSM - Thanks.
- joelsg1: @woodman $NVDA $TSM Now I'm reading that China is a 10% customer so maybe more impact in future Qs.
- woodman: @joelsg1 $NVDA $TSM - NVDA. like most everything else other than for a quick trade, will have to be a no-fly-zone until the chaos ends.
- champ: @smentor $AAPL ....I posted that it was one of the largest winners on Friday, I think could add and Day-trade, with a Stop at Entry or around Entry...... ....I'm also holding $MSFT, that should also be in play, so could $DELL........... ....others could be $TSM and maybe all the other chip names.........
- joelsg1: $TSM $NVDA China overnight threw US a bone if our leader is astute enough to see the opening, saying that it will no longer retaliate to further US tariffs (since "there is no longer a market for US goods imported into China") and that US chipmakers that outsource manufacturing to other countries (e.g. $TSM) will be exempt from retaliatory tariffs. Should be good for both stocks.
- joelsg1: $AVGO $200 lid, trimmed. $TSM pitched joint venture operating $INTC foundries to $AVGO, $AMD and $NVDA.
- joelsg1: @mgoodw $NVDA $TSM TY, I try and use the Forum not only to share what I think is important info but also to record my thoughts for later retrieval.
- DAN: @joelsg1 $NVDA $TSM Good approach, joel.
- Wolf: $TSM Catching a bid this morning. Up 3.2%
- mgoodw: @joelsg1 $NVDA $TSM I wish we could hit a "like" button on comments! You have interesting info. I know the President said he is hoping to export more NVDA chips to non restricted companies. Japan and a few others were mentioned. I'm sure he will try bc he won't want to harm a US company.
- joelsg1: $NVDA Getting crushed, fallout from unreliable US defense of former allies. But $TSM event today at WH announcing new investment in US could signal something? Jensen keynotes annual developers' confab 3/18 and answers questions 3/19, could provide bounce/ramp. Chart terrible below 200d caused volume sells but at least higher lows since 8/5 yen carry trade breakdown. Sold a few more $110 puts.
- woodman: @joelsg1 $NVDA $TSM - Good info. Thanks for the 3/18 and 3/19 activity. I have no NVDA position currently, but I always watch it.
- joelsg1: @woodman $NVDA $TSM Those conferences/Jensen keynotes introduce new products/uses and have been upside catalysts past 2 years.
- joelsg1: @joelsg1 $NVDA $TSM Rolled short puts up/out for credit. I should say down and out.
- billyzeke: $TSM will be investing 100 billion in the US building 5 new plants in Arizona.
- Boogie: $TSM Moving on news of US Investment. Right up to 50day now.
- traderbren: $TSM - back above the 50d and pushing above the 8ema and 20d.
- scottrades: $TSM trying to hold at the 100 EMA
- traderbren: $TSM - push back above the 50d
- scottrades: $TSM Upside reversal at the 50 Day
- scottrades: My notes: $SPY Upside reversal at the 50 Day $QQQ Still under the 50 $IWM Rejected at the 50 Day $GLD Back to the 8 EMA $IBIT Support at the 21 EMA $SMH Under the 200 Day $XLF Just off the highs $XLV Above the 200 Day $META Power Move into Earnings $AAPL Their AI is so bad it wasn’t affected..lol j/k $MSFT off the 200 Day $AMZN Bounce off the 21 EMA $NVDA Nope, don’t like that. $TSM Danger $GOOGL Same $APP Found support at the 50 Day $WMT Working $GMED Still ok $JPM Near the highs $BAC Support at the 8 EMA $GS Same $MSTR Earnings Next week
- scottrades: My video notes: $SPY Low Volume PB $QQQ Lots of Tech Earnings Next week $IWM Resistance at the 50 Day $GLD Extended $IBIT Resistance just above $SMH Pullback to the MAs $XLU Still above the MAs $DXY Under the 50 Day $TNX FOMC Meeting Wednesday $NVDA Pullback to the MAs $TSM Still ok $GOOGL Near the highs $APP Still ok $WMT Working $FIX Basing above resistance. $GMED Watch 93.70 $FOUR Watch 119.30 $JD China Stock $SE Watch 119.40 $BROS Basing $ALK Working $MSTR Forcing converts
- geotheo: $TSM Good stuff from $TSM this morning. Good earnings - TSMC reports Q4 EPS $2.24, consensus $2.08
- kycol: @geotheo $TSM Also saw where they will be producing Apple chips in Arizona this month.
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scottrades: ...
$TSM Holding above the 50 Day
$META Basing
$HOOD Broke out yesterday
$WIX Breaking out
$GEV Working
$MSTR Back above the 50 Day
See you in the Trading Room!
Scott
- joelsg1: @scottrades $AAPL $TSM E call commented on downward impact from IPhone seasonality, off the cliff from open and lemmings joined in jumping off.
- scottrades: @joelsg1 $AAPL $TSM Wow, thanks for the info.
- scottrades: My notes: $SPY CPI Tomorrow $QQQ CPI Tomorrow $IWM CPI Tomorrow $DXY Still in an uptrend. $TNX Same $SMH Back into the range $IBIT Holding the MAs $GLD Tightening $NVDA So goes the market $MRVL Still above the 50 $TSM Still above the 50 $META At the 50 $HOOD Failed Breakout $BROS Good RS $WIX Breaking out $GEV Earnings Next Week $SAP Above all the MAs $EQH Alert at 50.30 $ET Breaking out on low volume. $MSTR Just under the 50 Day $WGS Bad guidance
- geotheo: $TSM pre-market breakout of almost 5%. 10 points.
- billyzeke: @geotheo $TSM Very nice, I took a starter position on Friday.
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StockMarketMentor: ...
Now, looking under the hood of the $SMH, let's look at a few tickers. $NVDA is just 3% below its all-time high and we're in "Waiting on Huang" mode. Other stocks in the semi space are also working -- such as $TSM, $MRVL, and $AVGO. Ther ... - wijimmy: @StockMarketMentor $NVDA $SMH $TSM $MRVL $AVGO $DECK $FTNT $ONON $META $NTRA …@DAN ..Love it, making us money and sharing your regular guy opinions, like we are in a sports bar having a beer together… What more could a member want ? 👍🍻
- DAN: @wijimmy $NVDA $SMH $TSM $MRVL $AVGO $DECK $FTNT $ONON $META $NTRA I'm Dave Portnoy, only with tickers rather than pizza.
- wijimmy: @DAN $NVDA $SMH $TSM $MRVL $AVGO $DECK $FTNT $ONON $META $NTRA … good one..👍👍👍
- Mikev200: $TSM May start IF looks good into close.
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StockMarketMentor: ...
None of the macro is really impacting Mag7 Stocks, at least not yet. $NVDA is opening higher, $APPL is right at the highs. Same with $TSM, $DOCS, $PLTR, $RDDT, $ALAB and other stocks we talked about on Friday. Day traders, watch $XLE for a bounce as ... - traderbren: $AXGN, $TSM, $EBAY - keep an eye on these for follow through.
- Mikev200: @StockMarketMentor $SPY $NVDA $APPL $TSM $DOCS $PLTR $RDDT $ALAB $XLE $MSTR Merry Christmas to you and your family, you are the BEST!
- scottrades: $TSM Testing resistance.
- kingtug13: @scottrades $TSM - BLAST OFF!
- scottrades: My video notes: $SPY Back Above the 50 Day $QQQ Holding above the 50 Day $IWM BAck to the November base $IBIT BTC Sitting on the 50 $SMH Back through the 50 Day $XLY Holding the 21 EMA $XLE Trying to bounce off the lows $XLU Just above the 200 Day $DXY Still elevated $TNX Still elevated $AAPL Working $NVDA Just under the 50 $TSM Mentioned this morning $V Paying for Christmas $MA Also good $RDDT Basing $PLTR Working $FTNT Holding the 21 EMA $RUM Big breakout!
- scottrades: Scott's notes: $SPY Long term Trend in tact $QQQ Same $IWM Still ugly $IBIT Needs to get above the MAs again $SMH Finding support at the 200 Day $XLK Buyers at the 50 Day $FNGU Support at the 21 EMA $DXY Still elevated $TNX Still elevated $AAPL ATH $NVDA Still under the 50 Day $TSM At the 50 $MSTR Bounce off the 50 $DOCS Chart of the Day $V Close to the highs $MA Tight Weekly Chart $ALAB Mentioned in the forum $RDDT Mentioned in the forum $PLTR Close to the highs $HOOD Just above the 50 Day $RUM Tether Investment
- scottrades: My notes: $SPY Closed near the lows $QQQ Fresh lows $IWM Still Above yesterday's low. $IBIT Closed under the 21 EMA $SMH Closed under the 200 Day $FNGU Above the 21 EMA $DXY Elevated $TNX Not great. $AAPL Still above the 8 EMA $TSLA Lose but above the 8 EMA $TTD At the 50 Day $MSTR Just above the 50 Day $NTRA Green on the day $V Still holding the 21 EMA $ALAB Still above the 8 EMA $LRN Watch 109.50 $TSM Watch 205.50
- Cjauger: @joelsg1 $NVDA with $NVDL at top of my watchlists. $MSTR at the bottom. $TSM and $SMH also green
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StockMarketMentor: ...
The $SMH index popped back above its 50-day moving average yesterday, providing a clear support level. Stocks like $NVDA and $TSM are performing well, and $MRVL saw a gap up following its earnings report. Traders should ensure $MRVL holds above yest ... - DAN: @StockMarketMentor $IWM $SMH $NVDA $TSM $MRVL Thanks Scott! Teamwork makes the dream work. $-)
- Mikev200: $TSM HOD
- romanalexk: @Mikev200 $TSM I was just going to post about it. I like yesterday's volume. I bought some.
- Mikev200: @romanalexk $TSM I'm watching the close
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StockMarketMentor: ...
$TSM is having problems with building FAB outside of Taiwan. They are not able to help quickly to increase production for $NVDA. $NVDA is trying to get samsung to help, maybe when that capacity gets online, it will have the next leg higher to $200. ... - Cjauger: @StockMarketMentor $NVDA $TSM $ARM $AMZN $MSFT $TSLA $BAH $PLTR $META There are 2 concerns, that could impact economy: Doge and tariffs. Every box I get from Amazon says either: Made in China or Mexico. Mexico has now surpassed China as the US #1 trading partner: Mexico on top Rounding out the top 10 U.S. trade partners, after Mexico (up 2.5%) and Canada (down 2.4%), were: China (down 16.7%) Germany (up 7.9%), Japan (down 2.1%) South Korea (down 3.43%) the United Kingdom (down 1.3%) Taiwan (down 6.21%) Vietnam (down 10.5%) India (down 6.6%)
- Aibistin-1: @StockMarketMentor $NVDA $TSM $ARM $AMZN $MSFT $TSLA $BAH $PLTR $META $ALAB I was just thinking about what @whitepath said, "Without more chips, many customers turn to using $NVDA software more efficiently". This may be where a company like $ALAB with their high speed switches may benefit. IBD piece from early October. https://www.investors.com/news/technology/alab-stock-astera-labs-ai-data-center-switches/?src=A00220
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StockMarketMentor: ...
$TSM -- We were stopped out of $TSM yesterday for a gain of $23 bucks.
$CRWD -- Still going strong and up about $21 bucks from our cost basis of 321.10. This breakout is still running nicely between the 2nd and 3rd standard deviation bollinger ... - scottrades: My notes: $SPY CPI Tomorrow $QQQ CPI Tomorrow $IWM CPI Tomorrow $SMH Going sideways $IGV Working $IBIT Working $GLD Wait $XBI Watch for an upside reversal $AMZN Watch 212.25 $NVDA Earnings Nov. 20 $ARM Bottom of the range. $META Watch 600 $MSFT Watch 426 $MSTR Didn’t pullback $TSM Bottom of the short range. $CORZ Working $DECK Watch 179 $HEI Watch 265 $NOW Trend in motion
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StockMarketMentor: ...
I’ll go over our stocks on the Active Trade Idea list($CORZ $DASH $NVDA $TSM $GS $IBIT $ISRG $CRWD) in this morning’s training session. They are all working well, along with many others we’ve been in: $PLTR (up another 2.5%, $TSLA ... - StockMarketMentor: It's looking like $TSM printed a meaningful low yesterday on above-average volume, with a test of our stop/alert at 187.50, which is above the entry at 171.52. $META is also looking pretty solid. This was taking off the ATI list during the lull, but the 50-day moving average is again where the buyers are. Still in a trading range, but as long as the stock holds yesterday's low, I like this position. Just musing.... --Dan
- DavidK: @StockMarketMentor $TSM $META bought calls around 2.20 at close yesterday , just sold 80% of them for 4.7. . Is that a double or a home run ?
- DAN: @DavidK $TSM $META I double in a day? More like a walk-off grand slam. NICE DAVID!!! $-)
- DavidK: @DAN $TSM $META yep and the few contracts I had left I put a stop in and the crooks took it down and stopped me out then ran it up $2 . You know how they work
- scottrades: My notes: $SPY Extended but working $QQQ Same $IWM Want to see the gap hold $SMH Support at the 21 EMA $DXY Down today $TNX The path is lower $GLD Support at the 50 Day $GDX Support at 37.50 $IGV New Highs $IBIT Working $NVDA New ATH $ARM Back above the 50 Day $MRVL Back near the 21 Highs $TSM Back above the MAs $MSTR New ATH $META Above the MAs $TSLA Higher high $MSFT Above the 50 Day $PLTR Watch for a Pullback $AMD Coming off the bottom $CRM Weekly Cup $DECK Tight Weekly chart
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StockMarketMentor: ...
$TSM -- Down 2%, but $20 bucks above our entry.
I'll be updating stops later this morning.
To Crypto Market Mentor subscribers: Don't forget about Scott's webinar at 8 am PT / 11 am ET. With Bitcoin rocking, this will be a great time to be in ... - Cjauger: @StockMarketMentor $MSTR $MSTX $TSLA $CORZ $DASH $GS $IBIT $ISRG $NVDA $TSM Yess!!! on $GS, you are the timing master, glad I grabbed me a decent size starter position
- Cjauger: @StockMarketMentor $MSTR $MSTX $TSLA $CORZ $DASH $GS $IBIT $ISRG $NVDA $TSM On $GS, do we take some profits
- kenb: @StockMarketMentor $MSTR $MSTX $TSLA $CORZ $DASH $GS $IBIT $ISRG $NVDA $TSM good advice, seeing this scenario play out real time and sitting on my hands not chasing. "Volatility is going to be pretty significant and it's important to realize that these pre-market catalysts create a huge buildup of orders right at the open. Consequently, it is extremely risky to be buying or selling right at the open. It's always best to wait for some kind of signal that a trend is forming."
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StockMarketMentor: ...
$TSM -- Continuing its rebound that began with Thursday's turnaround.
$NVDA -- Status quo.
$CORZ -- Down again today. The published stop on this is 13.50 and that'll be triggered this morning. I'm hoping that you've been taking some profits ... -
StockMarketMentor: ...
$TSM -- status quo at 184.20
$HOOD -- This is a longer term trade, so I'm leaving the suggested stop at break even.
$META -- reports tomorrow. We are up about 10% on the trade. I'll be looking to protect profits tomorrow.
$VKTX -- the pub ... - joelsg1: $TSM Reportedly has achieved early production yields of 4 nanometer chips at its new AZ plant with yields 4% higher than in Taiwan. Made in America. Long with $NVDA.
- scottrades: My notes: $SPY Pullback to the 21 EMA $QQQ Same $IWM Support at the 50 Day $SMH At the 21 EMA $DXY Off the recent highs $GLD Just off the highs $GDX Some miners Earnings are coming up $SIL Needs tighter price action for a buy $XLF Tight along the 8EM $XLY Great volume $IBIT Watch 70K $TSLA So back. $NVDA Sitting on the 8 EMA $MSTR New ATH $VKTX Great work in the forum here! $GS Support at the 21 EMA $MS Above the 8 EMA $JPM Watch 226 $TSM At the 8EMA $SE Riding the 8 EMA $ALAB Watch for a trade after earnings $NU Watch 15.20
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StockMarketMentor: ...
Will China finally invade Taiwan? It’s a strong possibility. This should be a big concern, right? Yet Taiwan Semiconductor is ($TSM) is trading at all-time highs.
Domestic Concerns: The election is 13 days away. Nobody thinks this will ... -
Cjauger: Just 2 days after $ASML disappointing results, $TSM knocked it out of the ballpark
On Friday, Gene Munster shared his insights on the ongoing AI market dynamics after key Nvidia supplier Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM) rep ... - Cjauger: In spite of positive data points from $TSM , as @scottrades pointed out, price action in the chip sector does not seem too enthusistic. While initially most chip stocks followed $TSM higher, they all sold off into the close
- joelsg1: @Cjauger $ASML $TSM Hope so, but let’s remember Munster had to admit he was fooled by the Optimus robot displayed at $TSLA event last week thinking it was moving/speaking using its AI instead of controlled by a human remote operator, a surprisingly poor reaction by an AI analyst.
- kenb: $TSM good earnings report this morning, lifting semiconductor sector back up after yesterday's $ASML disappointing report. $NVDA $AMD $AVGO
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StockMarketMentor: ...
Futures are up following some hotter than expected Retail Sales numbers and lower than expected Jobless Claims numbers. The data is not signaling a recession in the near term and this will help the Fed make a case for another 25bps cut on November t ... - ruskinq2: @vitoB $ASML $NVDA $TSM so $NVDA (PEG 1.05) says demand for its chips is insane, chips are made by $TSM (PEG 1.29) who buys machines to make those chips from $ASML (PEG 1.25)..I'm not seeing anything to complain about, other than I didnt buy $NVDA at $2
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StockMarketMentor: ...
$TSM Watch for it to hold the 8EMA
$AAPL Watch for a close over 237
$META Watch 590
$CORZ Watch 13.45 for a higher high
$MSTR Want to see it hold the 8EMA
$GLD Watch 247.40
Let’s have a great day!
Scott
- joelsg1: $TSM Sept. sales dropped this am, up 40% YoY, 6% QoQ $23.6B surpassed $23.2 est. Stock approaching $190 ceiling. E 10/17 could be another catalyst for $NVDA, Long both.
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StockMarketMentor: ...
$TSM Watch for a pullback buy
$DASH Watch 145.50
Let’s have a great day!
Scott
- indigo1948: @StockMarketMentor $KWEB $NVDA $AVGO $CORZ $MSTR $AMD $TSM $DASH - good morning, Scott. I have been to Edmonton, and it is good they have a hockey team as there is no sparkling night life in the city-scenery is nice. Good luck on your hockey season.
- vitoB: @StockMarketMentor $KWEB $NVDA $AVGO $CORZ $MSTR $AMD $TSM $DASH ...so great
- traderbren: $TSM - poised to move higher....also seeing interest in near-dated calls - Oct 4th 177.50 Calls and 180 calls
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StockMarketMentor: ...
$TSM -- still consolidating. Not a good stock here.
$VKTX -- stopped out. Will track it…but not a good setup. Selloff too stee.
Others:
$RNA -- New ATH today.
$SPOT -- Pullback buy.
That’s it for this morning. I&rsquo ... -
DAN: ...
SMH -- Holding up well…as are stocks like $AVGO, $NVDA, $TSM,
$VKTX -- holding up and in a basing pattern. Sooner or later this *itch is gonna blow!
$NVDA -- Holding the 50-day MA and in a base that will last into next century.
$CORZ -- pu ... -
StockMarketMentor: ...
Keep an eye on the $SMH stocks as that ETF is back above all its key moving averages. The MA cluster on $SMH looks like pretty clear support to define risk off of. Nothing wrong with waiting for a pullback at this point, if you’re not exposed ... -
StockMarketMentor: ...
$TSM: Raising the stop from 160.90 to 163.93 to cut risk down just a bit.
$SAVA: Needs to gain about 90 cents to become profitable. Stop remains at 28.30.
Remember that these are examples of stops on trade ideas. They are for educational pur ... -
StockMarketMentor: ...
$TSM -- Squeezing, though I am not expecting much from this right now. Not my best trade idea.
That's it! CMM members, don't forget about Scott's awesome training session at the usual time. He always has great information and insight, and feed ... - wineinquirer: @StockMarketMentor $IBKR $DASH $META $DVA $LEN $DHI $TOL $NTRA $FRPT $TGTX $GD $SAVA $TSM FRPT breakout looks to be 143, not 443?
- DAN: @wineinquirer $IBKR $DASH $META $DVA $LEN $DHI $TOL $NTRA $FRPT $TGTX $GD $SAVA $TSM Got it! Thanks for noticing that, wineinquirer.
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StockMarketMentor: ...
The other stocks on the list are $FRPT $NTRA $TSM $NVDA $DVA and $GD. Those are all intact and I'll be considering some stop adjustments today.
As always, I caution you about buying on a Friday, particularly after such a sharp move higher thro ... - DAN: $TSM -- not sure what I was referring to yesterday when describing stops. But the stop on $TSM remains at 160.90 for the time being. I must have been looking at another stock and typed the wrong price. My apologies.
- StockMarketMentor: Adding a few stocks to the ATI List: $DVA -- Basis 158.00 Stop 147.55 $TSM -- Basis 171.52 Stop 160.90 $NVDA -- Basis 119.40 Stop 107.19 I'll post a more detailed note on each of these shortly. --Dan
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StockMarketMentor: ...
$TSM -- Basis 171.52 Stop 160.90
Taiwan Semiconductor is also pushing through the 50-day moving average. Andrew Huang (CEO of Nvidia) reiterated that TSM is their go-to supplier, but that Nvidia does have enough IP rights to go elsewhere if they n ... - RichardinME: @StockMarketMentor $DVA $TSM $NVDA Hi Dan. $NVDA seems to have a lot of downside potential if the stop is 107. Does this mean you feel this is back where it was going to 140 and then possibly 200?
- RichardinME: @StockMarketMentor $DVA $NVDA $TSM Dan, would you consider $NDVL for this trade or possibly options? Perhaps Nov 120 calls?
- DAN: @RichardinME $DVA $NVDA $TSM $NDVL NVDL -- your choice. It's just leveraged. Options -- can't go into that over here in SMM.
- DAN: @RichardinME $DVA $TSM $NVDA No, I wouldn't say that. The stock is in jail right now. Yesterday's advance was on obviously high volume and the stock is up above the 50-day MA today. So, I suspect that it has more upside, but I don't have any proje ...
- StockMarketMentor: Similar to $NVDA, I am raising my suggested stop to cap risk in the event that $TSM pulls back. I'll raise that stop to 116.20 to limit the risk to around 3.25%. --Dan
| Stock Price | $235.21 |
| Change | -2.65% |
| Volume | 13,531,300 |
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd manufactures integrated circuits for computer, communications & consumer electronics market segments. It also provides wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly & testing, mask production, & design services.
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Past Month
Leading Peers
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$20.29 65.61%
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$171.70 21.91%
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$7.96 21.66%
Past Month
Lagging Peers
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$5.80 -34.14%
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$31.43 -30.29%
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$21.53 -28.40%
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